Tea Leaf Reading as a Medical Process
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Activity in Brain’s Risk Circuits Can Forecast Changes in Stock Prices
Forecasting stock price movements may be possible with the help of brain activity in regions associated with how people feel before making investment choices. Researchers could accurately forecast market price changes based on the average brain activity among a group but failed when using only prior
fMRI, it can do anything!
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@izzion said in Tea Leaf Reading as a Medical Process:
fMRI, it can do anything!
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@izzion There is at least some causal relationship between investors' brains and their investments, for better or for worse, which then influence stock prices by changing demand.
It's kind of like measuring how much the gravitational force of a pencil in Australia affects my current weight, but
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@error said in Tea Leaf Reading as a Medical Process:
@izzion There is at least some causal relationship between investors' brains and their investments, for better or for worse, which then influence stock prices by changing demand.
It's kind of like measuring how much the gravitational force of a pencil in Australia affects my current weight, but
.I was gonna say - if you have a large enough sampling of people who mostly think the same, you can probably measure groupthink and "pump and dump" versus "hold" and get a reasonably accurate guess at what most investors will do, which can possibly make you a little more accurate. Whether that's really relevant is, obviously, up for debate...
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@sloosecannon said in Tea Leaf Reading as a Medical Process:
@error said in Tea Leaf Reading as a Medical Process:
@izzion There is at least some causal relationship between investors' brains and their investments, for better or for worse, which then influence stock prices by changing demand.
It's kind of like measuring how much the gravitational force of a pencil in Australia affects my current weight, but
.I was gonna say - if you have a large enough sampling of people who mostly think the same, you can probably measure groupthink and "pump and dump" versus "hold" and get a reasonably accurate guess at what most investors will do, which can possibly make you a little more accurate. Whether that's really relevant is, obviously, up for debate...
Well, is the system rational? We used to think so... but, it measures mostly its own behavior.
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@Gribnit said in Tea Leaf Reading as a Medical Process:
Well, is the system rational?
If the system isn't rational but is real, is it transcendental?
